ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5
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Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

94%YES
6%NO

Volume 24h

$999

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

90% / 98%

Spread

7.20pp

Expert Signal

94%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Devils vs. Hurricanes

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 94%99%
Buy YES@ 94¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 6¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $999 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 7.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1476589