ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5
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Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

74%YES
26%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

51% / 53%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Flyers vs. Red Wings

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

76% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

71% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 74%99%
Buy YES@ 74¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 26¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1476619