Markets/Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5

Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

58%YES

42%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

57% / 59%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

57%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Flames vs. Avalanche

Full event →

Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5

78%

Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5

57%

Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

45%

Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5

26%

Flames vs. Avalanche

23%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

58% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 58%99%

Buy YES@ 58¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 42¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5" at 58% YES / 42% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 58%, NO 42%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492908

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.