Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$55K
Liquidity
$91K
Bid / Ask
39% / 47%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
35%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $55K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598496
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5: 100%, Capitals vs. Penguins: 60%, Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5: 56%.
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
17%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -37.5pp
55% → 17%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
17% YES (-37.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this