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Markets/No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
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No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Market Price

31%YES
69%NO

FM Estimate

52%
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$1K
Bid / Ask9% / 98%
Spread89.00pp
ClosesJun 16, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.4pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets4 markets

4 deadline markets. Combined YES = 180% — 80pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps aft

50%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps af

50%

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates a

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after th

31%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+15.5pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 89.00pp. The market closes on June 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-28). "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1654192