ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

72%YES
28%NO

Volume 24h

$56K

Liquidity

$42K

Bid / Ask

72% / 73%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

72%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 72%99%
Buy YES@ 72¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO@ 29¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $56K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 72%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659872