Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Kings vs. Hawks
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$790K
Liquidity
$82K
Bid / Ask
21% / 22%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
21%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Kings vs. Hawks
7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Current
18% YES (+4.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Hawks" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $790K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Kings vs. Hawks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1682609
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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