Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.3M
Liquidity
$1.0M
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1713155
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Chelsea FC: 100%, Arsenal FC: 71%, FC Barcelona: 48%.
Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
39%
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: -18.0pp
56% → 39%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
39% YES (-13.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this