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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

86%YES
14%NO

Volume 24h

$37K

Liquidity

$25K

Bid / Ask

81% / 82%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

91%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+5.8pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1?" at 86% YES / 14% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 86%, NO 14%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717412

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+9.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

73% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +14.5pp

72% → 87%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

87% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

82% YES (-2.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 86%99%
Buy YES@ 86¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 14¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this