Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$41K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $41K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717414
This event has 13 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 1?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 1?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 1?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +9.3pp
6% → 16%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
16% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
4% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+6.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this