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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

13%YES
88%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

13% / 16%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

13%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717480

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 82%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 13%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 4%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

12% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +8.5pp

13% → 22%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

22% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

16% YES (+2.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 13%99%
Buy YES@ 13¢
Edge

+4.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 88¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+4.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this