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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$11K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

3% / 6%

Spread

2.80pp

Expert Signal

5%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717484

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 82%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 13%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 5%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-10.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

15% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: -6.8pp

14% → 7%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

5% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢
Edge

+9.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+9.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this