ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
94%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

5% / 6%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731393

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 45%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 11%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-2.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

7% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 94¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this