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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

12%YES
88%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

11% / 12%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

12%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731404

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 60%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 43%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 12%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

14% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

12% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 12%99%
Buy YES@ 12¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 88¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this