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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 2?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

15% / 20%

Spread

4.50pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 2?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 4.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731477

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 83%, price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,00: 3%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~11%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

13% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

11% YES (-1.7pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+11.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this