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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 2?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 2?

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$16K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

1% / 3%

Spread

1.50pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 2?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731482

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 97%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 53%, price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,00: 3%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: -6.5pp

14% → 8%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

2% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-13.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly13.0%
½ Kelly6.5%
Buy NO+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 13.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this