ForecastMind
Markets/Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Share on X

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$33K

Bid / Ask

47% / 51%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823800

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 88%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 50%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 23%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-6.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this