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Markets/Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?
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Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$166K

Bid / Ask

0% / 0%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823807

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 88%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 49%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 23%.

Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
88%
Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
49%
Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?
23%
Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?
10%
Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?
4%
Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?
1%
Ethereum dip to $800 in April?
1%
Ethereum dip to $600 in April?
0%
Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
0%

Ethereum dip to $400 in April?

0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this