Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$255K
Liquidity
$79K
Bid / Ask
15% / 17%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $255K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1733262
This event has 6 active outcome markets. FC Barcelona: 65%, Paris Saint-Germain FC: 53%, Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U : 39%.
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Apr 8, 2026
Current
16% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this