ForecastMind
Markets/Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
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Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Closes April 8, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$302K

Liquidity

$437K

Bid / Ask

38% / 39%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $302K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1733266

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. FC Barcelona: 65%, Paris Saint-Germain FC: 53%, Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U : 39%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Current

42% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this