Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$247K
Liquidity
$84K
Bid / Ask
17% / 20%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $247K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1761287
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Event Cluster
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