Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1762328
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this