ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

83%YES
17%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

82% / 84%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

83%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743687

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

82% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

81% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 83%99%
Buy YES@ 83¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 17¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this