Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
50% / 53%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731483
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?: 99%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Trough probability
41% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
54%
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -7.0pp
48% → 41%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
55% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this