Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731474
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?: 99%.
price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
99% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this