ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5
Share on X

Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$28K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

57% / 61%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

56% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 37¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1764161