ForecastMind
Markets/Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5
Share on X

Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

19%YES
82%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$689

Bid / Ask

8% / 28%

Spread

20.00pp

Expert Signal

19%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-20.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Trough probability

18% YES — lowest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: -18.5pp

37% → 18%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

18% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 19%99%
Buy YES@ 19¢
Edge

+2.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 82¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 20.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1768482