Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?
Closed April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.9pp below current market price; market at 8% may be overpriced with macro signals showing USD/RUB -0.7% ↓, Oil -1.2% ↓, VIX -1.3% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$587K
Liquidity
$57K
Bid / Ask
9% / 10%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
9%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $587K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1770256
This event has 18 active outcome markets. AFC Bournemouth: 100%, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: 94%, Torino FC: 92%.
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this