Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$279K
Liquidity
$105K
Bid / Ask
36% / 37%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $279K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1771787
This event has 18 active outcome markets. AFC Bournemouth: 100%, Torino FC: 72%, FC Barcelona: 72%.
Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this