ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
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Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$90K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

2% / 15%

Spread

13.00pp

Expert Signal

14%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-26.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: -29.0pp

48% → 19%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

19% YES (-29.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 9%99%
Buy YES@ 9¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $90K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1772613