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Markets/Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner
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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

77%YES
24%NO

Volume 24h

$260K

Liquidity

$48K

Bid / Ask

69% / 71%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

77%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

56% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 77%99%
Buy YES@ 77¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.1%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 24¢

-2.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $260K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1776901