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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?

Closes April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

11%YES
89%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

10% / 12%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

11%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777512

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 83%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 11%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 7%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 11%99%
Buy YES@ 11¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 89¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this