Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 5?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777517
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 81%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 12%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 7%.
price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this