ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
Share on X

Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

73%YES
28%NO

Volume 24h

$106K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

55% / 66%

Spread

11.00pp

Expert Signal

73%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

+20.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

68%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +18.5pp

49% → 68%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

68% YES (+18.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 73%99%
Buy YES@ 73¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $106K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784708

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.