ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
Share on X

Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

74%YES
27%NO

Volume 24h

$518K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

83% / 86%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

74%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

+21.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +21.0pp

51% → 72%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

72% YES (+21.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 74%99%
Buy YES@ 74¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.9%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO@ 27¢

-1.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $518K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784710

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.