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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
Share on X

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

70%YES
30%NO

Volume 24h

$88K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

63% / 67%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

70%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5
77%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
68%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5
65%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
64%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
62%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
62%
76ers vs. Heat
42%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
21%

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

49% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 70%99%
Buy YES@ 70¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 30¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5" at 70% YES / 30% NO. In the last 24 hours, $88K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 70%, NO 30%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1796476

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.