ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5
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Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

26% / 56%

Spread

30.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

-8.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -7.5pp

52% → 44%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

42% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 56¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 30.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1796478

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.