ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5
Share on X

Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

12% / 88%

Spread

76.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 76.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798171

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5: 44%, Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~56%.

Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5

0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-39.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

63%

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: -41.9pp

42% → 0%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

63% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

0% YES (-41.9pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this