ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Share on X

Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$63

Bid / Ask

3% / 84%

Spread

81.00pp

Expert Signal

44%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 81.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798180

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5: 100%, Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5: 50%, Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5: 44%.

Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5

44%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+8.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

35% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +5.5pp

35% → 41%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

44% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this