ForecastMind
Markets/Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5
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Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$819

Liquidity

$6K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $819 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798770

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5: 1%, Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 0%, Sam Merrill: Points O/U 12.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~99%.

Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5
1%

Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5

0%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 12.5
0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this