Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?
Closes April 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
5% / 7%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808743
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in Apr: 70%, Trump say "Trump Account" in April?: 56%, Trump say "Trump Tower" or "Trump Towers" in : 44%.
Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
7% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this