ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: 76ers (-15.5)
Share on X

Spread: 76ers (-15.5)

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$1.0M

Liquidity

$42K

Bid / Ask

49% / 50%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: 76ers (-15.5)" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Spread: 76ers (-15.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1812454

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: 76ers (-13.5): 53%, 1H Spread: 76ers (-9.5): 50%, Spread: 76ers (-14.5): 48%.

Spread: 76ers (-13.5)
53%
1H Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
50%
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
48%

Spread: 76ers (-15.5)

45%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+16.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

30% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +21.0pp

30% → 51%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

54% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

46% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 45%99%
Buy YES@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this