ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: 76ers (-13.5)
Share on X

Spread: 76ers (-13.5)

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

38%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$99K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

44% / 48%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: 76ers (-13.5)" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $99K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Spread: 76ers (-13.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817674

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Spread: 76ers (-9.5): 55%, Spread: 76ers (-10.5): 51%, Spread: 76ers (-13.5): 38%.

Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
55%
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
51%

Spread: 76ers (-13.5)

38%
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
33%
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)
28%
1H Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
0%
1H Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-25.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

54%

Apr 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

25%

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: -29.0pp

54% → 25%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

25% YES (-29.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 38%99%
Buy YES@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this