ForecastMind
Markets/Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5
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Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$14K

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

46% / 48%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813217

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Magic: 61%, Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5: 52%, Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5: 51%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

48% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 47%99%
Buy YES@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this