Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$66K
Bid / Ask
12% / 13%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818935
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Club Atlético de Madrid: 26%, Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5): 13%, Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5): 5%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~57%.
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this