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Markets/Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
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Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

16%YES
84%NO
Vol 24h$515
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask14% / 18%
Spread4.20pp
ClosesOct 17, 2026

FM Estimate

13%

Market Price

16%
↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets38 markets

This event has 38 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Chun Jae-soo: 76%, Kareem Allam: 33%.

William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election

16%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $515 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 4.20pp. The market closes on October 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1822543