Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$67K
Bid / Ask
68% / 69%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
69%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823778
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 69%, Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?: 59%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 34%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
72% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
66% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Current
67% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this