Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
17% / 20%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 2?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823954
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 69%, Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?: 59%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 34%.
Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
21% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
16% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this