ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
Share on X

Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$35K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

26% / 42%

Spread

16.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1849291

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Pelicans vs. Kings: 71%, Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5: 50%, Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5: 39%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

49% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this