Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$723K
Liquidity
$47K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $723K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1860403
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5): 100%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: 38%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5: 1%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
42% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
34% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
97%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +63.5pp
34% → 97%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
97% YES (+63.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this